06.16.2022

How To Generate Massive Scientific Over-Certainty With These Four Simple Tricks

“Anyway, you have to love how [UC Santa Cruz] gift us two new over-certainty generating ideas. The first was to label points in history ‘Coolhouse’ which were much warmer than they are now, accepting the plot as true. … Their second method was to plot the most panicked predictions of future 2020-like points (and not actual global means, which again nobody knows). This makes a terrific contrast to the historical data. Scary! Until you ask yourself, how in the hell can they be that certain of what the temperature will be, when they aren’t even that close to certain what the temperature was?”

This was originally posted here at STATISTICIAN TO THE STARS! on June 16, 2022.

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